Discovery Pipeline

Catalyst + Co-feed Pipeline

The next materials, catalysts, co-feeds, and product-slate choices to model before expanding the sewage-to-fuel bench program.

6

Research leads triaged

8

Materials or molecules to model

4

Bench/model experiments queued

7

Docker-selected catalyst discovery candidates

Docker-Generated Catalyst Discovery

Rank catalyst leads by what they prove, poison, and still fail to prove

Candidate score52.6
O removal58
N removal32
Stability48
circular catalyst

NiO on sludge hydrochar loop

Test whether HTL solids can become a useful catalyst support instead of only a residual burden.

Measure Ni leaching, hydrochar surface area, ash poisoning, repeat-cycle activity, and spent-material routing.

Catalyst
NiO/HC from sludge-derived hydrochar
Conditions
330 C / 120 bar
H2 burden
25
Readiness
52

Pyomo-formulated catalyst portfolio selector with deterministic enumeration, category coverage, HDN, stability, and hydrogen-burden constraints. Current package covers 7 categories and 11 molecular stress markers.

Molecular stress markers

Palmitic acid; Phenol; Ammonia; Chloride

Catalyst ranking is tied to specific N, O, S, chloride, coke, aqueous, and hydrogen markers so catalyst promise does not hide downstream fuel-release burden.

Top marker
Carbazole
Experiment
CuSO4, TiO2, and NiO/HC partition run

The leading candidates are still experiment packages: mild stabilization, deep HDN, zeolite cracking, circular hydrochar support, co-processing kinetics, and spent-catalyst forensics have to be measured together.

Decision stance

Model catalysts as penalties and opportunities, not magic yield multipliers

The best new direction is a measured catalyst/co-feed matrix: NiO on recycled hydrochar, ZSM-5 aqueous-phase upgrading, algae or food-waste co-feeds, and product-slate severity. Each case must carry its own hydrogen, catalyst-life, aqueous toxicity, metals, and residual-handling burden.

Generated catalyst package

Seven selected candidates that should be tested as a linked upgrading portfolio

circular catalyst

NiO on sludge hydrochar loop

Score 52.6; O removal 58; N removal 32; stability 48; readiness 52. Measure Ni leaching, hydrochar surface area, ash poisoning, repeat-cycle activity, and spent-material routing.

zeolite innovation

Dual-base modified ZSM-5 upgrading

Score 59.2; O removal 75; N removal 40; stability 58; readiness 52. Prove nitrogen removal, coking, pore stability, metals/chloride tolerance, and catalyst regeneration.

catalytic HTL

TiO2 primary-sludge HTL benchmark

Score 48.8; O removal 50; N removal 28; stability 58; readiness 62. Measure catalyst recovery, ash interaction, biochar partitioning, oil fraction, and aqueous organic load.

stabilization

Mild NiMo stabilization window

Score 65.3; O removal 51; N removal 25; stability 94; readiness 84. Confirm TAN, MCR, simdist, pressure drop, chlorine removal, and N-family shifts on project-specific biocrude.

deep hydrotreating

Two-stage NiMo deep HDN/HDO

Score 74.7; O removal 90; N removal 88; stability 66; readiness 62. Measure hydrogen uptake, HDN kinetics, liquid-yield loss, coke, spent catalyst metals, and product properties.

modeling co-processing

Kinetic VGO co-processing gate

Score 75.7; O removal 86; N removal 78; stability 76; readiness 70. Validate blend ratio, miscibility, reactor response, hydrogen uptake, refinery catalyst limits, and product split.

forensics

Spent-catalyst forensics and guard-bed assay

Score 65.5; O removal 35; N removal 55; stability 90; readiness 78. Run ICP, SEM/EDS, coke, chloride, phosphorus, sulfur, nitrogen-family, and pressure-drop diagnostics.

Catalyst/material · 2025

NiO on recycled hydrochar makes a circular catalyst loop testable

Bench next

NiO/HC catalyst from calcined sludge HTL hydrochar

A 2025 catalytic HTL study used NiO loaded on sludge-derived hydrochar and reported biocrude yield up to 17.93 wt% plus a high-quality case with 39.40 MJ/kg HHV and 50.91% energy recovery.

Plan impact
This is the most practical catalyst lead because it reuses the solid HTL residue as a support instead of importing only fresh catalyst.
Programmatic check
Model nickel oxide loading, surface-area sensitivity, catalyst mass per dry ton, and a hydrochar recycle loop in the process ledger.
Risk gate
Do not promote until nickel leaching, ash accumulation, spent catalyst handling, and repeat-cycle activity are measured.
Journal of the Energy Institute
Aqueous phase · 2026

ZSM-5 can turn some HTL aqueous carbon into supplemental oil, but pyridines remain

Model now

Silica-bound ZSM-5 supercritical aqueous-phase upgrading

A 2026 Frontiers topic summary reports ZSM-5 supercritical upgrading of HTL aqueous phase with 64-73% aqueous carbon reduction, supplemental biocrude production, aromatics such as phenol and 2-pentanone, and remaining nitrogen concentrated as pyridines.

Plan impact
Aqueous phase cannot stay a waste afterthought; it may be both a treatment liability and a secondary oil-yield opportunity.
Programmatic check
Add aqueous carbon-to-oil recovery, nitrogen speciation, COD reduction, and headworks recycle stress as explicit variables.
Risk gate
Full-scale return remains gated by nitrifier inhibition, UV disinfection interference, and treatment requirements.
Frontiers in Chemical Engineering
Catalyst/material · 2026 online record

Dual-base modified ZSM-5 is a high-upside biocrude upgrading lead

Watch

NaOH + TPAOH modified ZSM-5 with mesopore creation

The reported sludge-biocrude upgrading record describes mixed-base ZSM-5 achieving 75.02% oxygen removal, 81.55% sulfur removal, 52.03 wt% upgraded yield, and more than 50 wt% hydrocarbons.

Plan impact
Hierarchical zeolite pores may solve part of the large-molecule access problem that limits conventional microporous cracking catalysts.
Programmatic check
Represent this as a high-severity catalytic upgrading scenario with oxygen, sulfur, hydrocarbon fraction, and coking risk fields.
Risk gate
Treat as a watch lead until catalyst lifetime, nitrogen removal, ash/metals poisoning, and hydrogen use are independently verified.
Fuel / ScienceDirect
Co-feed · 2026

Wastewater-grown algae can become a site-grown co-feed rather than an external feedstock

Bench next

Mixed algal-cyanobacterial biomass grown in municipal wastewater

A 2026 Scientific Reports HTL study of municipal wastewater-grown algae found a 42.93 MJ/kg biofuel sample with gasoline, kerosene, and diesel-range fractions under optimized conditions.

Plan impact
A wastewater-site algae loop could add lipid-rich carbon while recovering nutrients, but it adds land, light, harvesting, and seasonal variability constraints.
Programmatic check
Add algae productivity, harvesting energy, nitrogen/phosphorus uptake, oil fraction, and co-HTL yield response to the scenario model.
Risk gate
Only advance if the algae system improves the whole-site mass and energy balance after dewatering and harvesting penalties.
Scientific Reports
Hydrochar branch · 2026 online record

Amino-acid deep eutectic solvent chemistry may upgrade sludge hydrochar

Watch

Arginine plus butyric acid DES-assisted HTC

A DES-assisted hydrothermal carbonization record used arginine and butyric acid, reporting a 21.9% increase in hydrochar carbon content and HHV improvement from 11.6 to 13.13 MJ/kg.

Plan impact
This is not the liquid-fuel answer, but it may improve residual handling, catalyst support quality, or a solid-fuel fallback.
Programmatic check
Model arginine/butyric acid make-up, solvent recovery, hydrochar carbon, HHV, and residual nutrient/metals routing.
Risk gate
Do not use it in the primary oil claim until solvent recovery, nitrogen doping, cost, and disposal outcomes are measured.
Biomass and Bioenergy / ScienceDirect
Upgrading strategy · 2026

Wet-waste HTL can target marine fuel, renewable diesel, or SAF with different upgrading severity

Model now

Hydrotreating and hydrocracking product-slate control

A 2026 wet-waste HTL TEA/LCA model compared sludge, manure, and food waste across marine fuel, renewable diesel, and SAF cases, with modeled MFSP values near $2.58-$3.61/GGE when feedstock credits are included.

Plan impact
The business case should not lock onto one fuel too early; marine fuel may need less severe upgrading, while SAF requires deep nitrogen removal.
Programmatic check
Add a product-slate selector for marine, renewable diesel, and SAF with nitrogen target, hydrogen demand, carbon efficiency, and credit sensitivity.
Risk gate
Fuel-market choice remains gated by measured biocrude nitrogen, hydrotreating yield loss, CAP emissions, water demand, and policy credit durability.
RSC Sustainability

Model next

Materials and molecules added to the research queue

NiO on recycled hydrochar

Nickel(II) oxide

NiO

Active phase for the NiO/hydrochar catalytic HTL lead.

Model useCatalyst loading, nickel inventory, leaching risk, spent catalyst mass, and cost sensitivity.
Validation needMeasure nickel leaching, repeat-cycle activity, ash poisoning, and catalyst regeneration need.
NiO on recycled hydrochar and DES hydrochar

Hydrochar support

C/H/O/N/P/ash variable

Recycled solid HTL residue support for catalyst preparation and possible residual energy product.

Model useSupport yield, carbon content, surface-area proxy, ash/metals sink, and phosphorus route.
Validation needMeasure BET surface area, ash, metals, phosphorus speciation, HHV, and leachability.
ZSM-5 aqueous upgrading and dual-base ZSM-5

ZSM-5 zeolite

Al-Si-O framework

Cracking/upgrading catalyst for biocrude or HTL aqueous-phase carbon recovery.

Model useAromatic formation, hydrocarbon fraction, pore-access assumption, coke risk, and catalyst lifetime.
Validation needMeasure coke, pore collapse, metals poisoning, nitrogen fate, and product distribution.
Dual-base modified ZSM-5

Sodium hydroxide

NaOH

Inorganic base for hierarchical ZSM-5 desilication in the dual-base catalyst lead.

Model useCatalyst preparation material, washing burden, alkalinity, and waste salt route.
Validation needTrack sodium residuals, washwater load, zeolite crystallinity, and catalyst acidity.
Dual-base modified ZSM-5

Tetrapropylammonium hydroxide

C12H29NO

Organic base paired with NaOH in the mixed-base ZSM-5 modification lead.

Model useOrganic base consumption, catalyst synthesis cost, pore formation, and residual nitrogen risk.
Validation needMeasure material recovery or destruction, catalyst reproducibility, and synthesis emissions.
Amino-acid deep eutectic solvent chemistry

Arginine

C6H14N4O2

Amino-acid component in the DES-assisted hydrochar branch.

Model useSolvent make-up, nitrogen-doping potential, solvent recovery, and hydrochar functionality.
Validation needMeasure solvent loss, nitrogen form in hydrochar, aqueous nitrogen, and cost per dry ton.
Amino-acid deep eutectic solvent chemistry

Butyric acid

C4H8O2

Organic-acid DES component and dehydration/decarboxylation promoter in the hydrochar branch.

Model useAcid load, solvent recovery, volatile acid loss, and hydrochar oxygen reduction.
Validation needMeasure pH, volatile losses, aqueous COD, solvent carryover, and corrosion risk.
ZSM-5 aqueous upgrading and HTL-aq downstream impact

Pyrazine

C4H4N2

Aqueous nitrogen heterocycle associated with nitrifier inhibition risk.

Model useNitrifier toxicity marker, nitrogen speciation, and return-stream inhibition proxy.
Validation needMeasure concentration before recycle and compare against nitrification inhibition tests.

Bench matrix

Experiments required before promoting these leads

NiO/hydrochar catalyst loop

Determine whether sludge-derived hydrochar can serve as a reusable catalyst support for HTL.

NiO loadingHydrochar calcination temperatureCatalyst wt%Reaction temperatureCycle count
MeasurementsBiocrude yield, HHV, Nickel leaching, Ash/metals, Surface area, Repeat-cycle activity
Stop conditionStop if nickel leaching, ash poisoning, or spent-catalyst disposal eliminates the yield benefit.

Aqueous-phase ZSM-5 recovery

Test whether HTL aqueous carbon can be reduced while producing supplemental oil without harming headworks biology.

ZSM-5 loadingSupercritical severityAqueous phase dilutionRecycle fraction
MeasurementsCOD reduction, Oil carbon yield, Pyridines, Phenolics, Nitrification inhibition, UV absorbance
Stop conditionStop if treatment burden or nitrifier inhibition is worse than direct aqueous polishing.

Co-feed algae and food-waste comparison

Compare site-grown algae, food waste, and FOG-rich co-feeds under the same HTL and upgrading ledger.

Co-feed ratioMoistureLipid fractionSolids loadingResidence time
MeasurementsBiocrude yield, Fuel fraction, Hydrogen demand, Harvesting/dewatering energy, Aqueous COD, N/P recovery
Stop conditionStop any co-feed case that improves reactor yield but loses on whole-site energy or residuals.

Product-slate severity selector

Map whether the realistic product should be marine fuel, renewable diesel, or SAF for each biocrude quality.

Nitrogen targetHydrogen pressureHydrocracking severityDistillation cutPolicy credit case
MeasurementsN ppm, O wt%, Hydrogen uptake, Fuel yield, MFSP, GHG and CAP emissions
Stop conditionStop SAF framing if deep denitrogenation destroys yield or requires uncompetitive hydrogen input.

Docker-selected experiments

The generated simulation turns catalyst leads into measurable release gates

hydrotreating

240 C stabilization boundary run

Run staged NiMo tests at 200, 220, 240, 260, and 280 C with SFC-HRMS and simdist.

Find the highest stability gain that avoids oligomerization and protects the deep HDN bed.

deep upgrading

Deep HDN yield-loss and hydrogen assay

Measure HDN, HDO, liquid yield, gas make, coke, hydrogen uptake, and nitrogen-family depletion.

Separates diesel-relevant upgrading from a mild stabilization claim.

forensics

Spent-catalyst autopsy and guard-bed release

Use ICP, SEM/EDS, coke, halide, phosphorus, sulfur, and HRMS inlet/outlet forensics.

Turns catalyst deactivation into a measured gate before pilot exposure.

catalytic HTL

CuSO4, TiO2, and NiO/HC partition run

Compare catalyst recovery, oil/asphaltene split, aqueous COD, metals, biochar ash, and leachability.

Keeps yield-positive catalyst tests tied to residual and aqueous penalties.

zeolite

Dual-base ZSM-5 coking and metals test

Stress modified zeolite with real biocrude, ash/metals spike, chloride spike, and regeneration cycles.

Decides whether strong deoxygenation is durable enough to enter the bench package.

reactor model

Model-component co-processing calibration

Fit representative N/O/S/aromatic markers against real sludge-biocrude and VGO blend data.

Determines whether refinery co-processing is a real option or a deferred scenario.

Source-backed simulation

a catalyst lead should not be promoted until heteroatom removal, hydrogen demand, catalyst life, metals/chloride tolerance, and spent-catalyst fate are measured together

catdisc-dual-base-zsm5-2026

Efficient catalytic upgrading of municipal sludge hydrothermal biocrude via dual-base modified ZSM-5

Source

2026 Fuel article reporting NaOH plus TPAOH modified ZSM-5 with strong deoxygenation and heavy-oil cracking signals.

Open source
catdisc-mild-hydrotreating-2026

Mild hydrotreatment as a stabilization step for nitrogen-rich sewage sludge biocrude

Source

Open-access 2026 pilot trickle-bed work defining a mild NiMo stabilization window below 240 C and 1010 h operation.

Open source
catdisc-primary-sludge-catalysts-2024

Influence of catalysts on the hydrothermal liquefaction of municipal primary sludge

Source

Open-access 2024 Fuel study comparing homogeneous and heterogeneous catalysts including CuSO4 and TiO2 for primary-sludge HTL.

Open source
catdisc-kinetic-coprocessing-2026

Kinetic modeling of HTL biocrude hydrotreating for stand-alone reactors and co-processing with vacuum gas oil

Source

2026 kinetic and reactor-modeling work using 40+ representative biocrude model components and continuous-reactor validation.

Open source
catdisc-nio-hydrochar-2025

Characterization of biocrude oil from catalytic HTL of municipal sewage sludge with a Ni-based hydrochar

Source

2025 sludge-derived hydrochar support lead for circular NiO/HC catalytic HTL testing.

Open source
catdisc-two-stage-hdt-2020

Two-stage catalytic hydrotreatment of highly nitrogenous biocrude from continuous HTL

Source

Two-stage hydrotreating precedent for reducing coke and improving heteroatom removal in nitrogen-rich HTL biocrudes.

Open source
catdisc-water-research-2026-review

Hydrothermal liquefaction of municipal sludge: Biocrude production and fuel quality upgrading

Source

2026 review emphasizing catalyst innovation, upgrading gaps, byproduct use, and pilot-scale integration.

Open source
catdisc-pnnl-sot-2022

PNNL-32731 hydrothermal liquefaction and upgrading state of technology

Source

Wet-waste HTL state-of-technology context for deashing, solids, upgrading, and system-level validation.

Open source