Docker-Generated Campaign Simulation

Campaign Simulator

A bench-to-pilot validation planner that turns the sewage-to-fuel research stack into a sequenced campaign across feedstock assays, HTL conversion, aqueous recycle, contaminants, materials, upgrading, process modeling, TEA/LCA, and release rehearsal.

12

RDKit-checked molecular markers across feedstock, aqueous burden, PFAS, chloride, fuel hydrocarbons, hydrogen, and methane

13

validation packages scored for proof power, uncertainty reduction, pilot-blocking value, sample burden, automation, and cost

Integrated bench-to-pilot release rehearsal

top package because every release claim has to survive an integrated bench-to-pilot dossier review

153

calendar days in the current prerequisite-aware simulated campaign schedule

Interactive Validation Campaign

Sequence the proof work before the project moves from research to pilot language

Package score73.1
Proof power96
Pilot blocker94
Schedule1-30
feedstock assay

30-day site feedstock and sludge assay campaign

Defines the matrix, contaminants, solids, ash, PFAS, and seasonal variability before reactor claims are trusted.

Site-specific feedstock envelope, sample custody table, and contaminant trigger list.

Stage
Intake
Duration
30 days
Uncertainty
86
Automation
72

Pyomo-formulated validation-campaign selector with deterministic enumeration and prerequisite closure. Current package covers 12 categories, 12 molecular markers, and 254 bench-days of work.

Molecules tied to this package

Water; Ammonia; PFOA; PFOS; Chloride; Orthophosphate

The selected package keeps sewage-to-fuel claims tied to marker molecules, measured gates, and a calendar sequence rather than a single oil-yield result.

Top marker
Chloride
Critical path
Yes

The campaign deliberately pairs feedstock assays, HTL conversion, aqueous recycle, biology, PFAS/metals, inorganic fouling, hydrotreating, and TEA/LCA before any pilot release rehearsal.

A 153-day integrated schedule is a planning model, not proof of readiness. It becomes decision evidence only after the assays, phase ledgers, molecular checks, and pilot-blocking gates are measured.

The unselected fuel-property stress screen remains visible as a follow-on claim gate after the first integrated release package closes.

Current campaign decision

The fuel plan is a validation campaign, not a ready-to-use product

The leading plan can be created as a research and bench-testing program: sample sludge, run HTL, close oil/water/char/gas ledgers, test aqueous recycle and plant biology, route PFAS and metals, expose materials and catalysts, then update TEA/LCA before a pilot rehearsal. It is not ready for fuel use until those measured packages pass together.

Portfolio score868.6

12 validation categories are covered by the selected Pyomo package.

Top markerChloride

Chloride leads because corrosion, salts, oil carryover, and hydrotreating exposure can block pilot hardware.

Critical path6

critical-path packages drive the 153-day sequenced release rehearsal.

Average proof87.8

proof power stays paired with uncertainty reduction and pilot-blocking risk.

Selected campaign package

Twelve packages that must close before pilot-ready language is defensible

Intake

30-day site feedstock and sludge assay campaign

Score 73.1; proof 96; uncertainty 86; pilot blocker 94. Deliverable: Site-specific feedstock envelope, sample custody table, and contaminant trigger list.

Bench HTL

Baseline HTL phase and element balance

Score 71.8; proof 92; uncertainty 82; pilot blocker 90. Deliverable: Baseline product distribution and element ledger.

Bench HTL

Temperature, residence, and solids severity DOE

Score 66.7; proof 84; uncertainty 82; pilot blocker 76. Deliverable: Response surface for oil yield, aqueous burden, nitrogen split, and char/ash behavior.

Water

Six-cycle aqueous recirculation stress campaign

Score 67.4; proof 86; uncertainty 78; pilot blocker 88. Deliverable: Cycle-by-cycle water-quality and oil-quality drift limits.

Integration

AD, BMP, and nitrification compatibility panel

Score 63.1; proof 82; uncertainty 74; pilot blocker 84. Deliverable: BMP, inhibition, acclimation, and return-load limits.

Recovery

Solvent-minimized oil/water/char recovery campaign

Score 66.7; proof 84; uncertainty 72; pilot blocker 82. Deliverable: Phase recovery, emulsion, water carryover, char moisture, and mass-closure protocol.

Scale-up

Inorganic, fouling, and corrosion coupon loop

Score 69.8; proof 88; uncertainty 76; pilot blocker 94. Deliverable: DP trend, coupon microscopy, chloride/salt threshold, and cleaning protocol.

Contaminants

PFAS, metals, and hydrochar leachability closure

Score 71; proof 94; uncertainty 80; pilot blocker 98. Deliverable: Cross-phase PFAS/metals ledger and residual routing decision.

Upgrading

Mild hydrotreating and catalyst exposure run

Score 67.7; proof 90; uncertainty 78; pilot blocker 92. Deliverable: Hydrogen uptake, HDN/HDO/HDS, catalyst pressure-drop, coke, and product assay package.

Modeling

Kinetic/process model calibration and uncertainty update

Score 70.1; proof 80; uncertainty 88; pilot blocker 82. Deliverable: Calibrated model inputs, Monte Carlo update, and pilot design basis.

Decision

TEA, LCA, and site boundary refresh

Score 68.2; proof 78; uncertainty 90; pilot blocker 80. Deliverable: Updated MFSP, CI, uncertainty, and site-comparison package.

Release

Integrated bench-to-pilot release rehearsal

Score 79.6; proof 100; uncertainty 92; pilot blocker 100. Deliverable: Go/no-go release book with unresolved hold points and pilot prerequisites.

Calendar schedule

The simulated sequence respects prerequisites instead of stacking unrelated tests into a false sprint

critical path

30-day site feedstock and sludge assay campaign

Days 1-30; duration 30 days. Defines the matrix, contaminants, solids, ash, PFAS, and seasonal variability before reactor claims are trusted.

critical path

Baseline HTL phase and element balance

Days 32-49; duration 18 days. Separates oil yield from recoverable product by closing oil, aqueous, char, gas, nitrogen, sulfur, ash, metals, and PFAS ledgers.

Bench HTL

Temperature, residence, and solids severity DOE

Days 51-74; duration 24 days. Calibrates the operating window before optimizing around one high-yield run.

Water

Six-cycle aqueous recirculation stress campaign

Days 51-80; duration 30 days. Tests whether recycle improves yield while accumulating salts, nitrogen heterocycles, COD, and toxicity.

Recovery

Solvent-minimized oil/water/char recovery campaign

Days 51-66; duration 16 days. Prevents solvent-biased yield reporting and defines recoverable product under realistic separation conditions.

critical path

PFAS, metals, and hydrochar leachability closure

Days 68-91; duration 24 days. Blocks contaminant-ready claims until target PFAS, total fluorine, metals, and hydrochar leachability have permitted routes.

Integration

AD, BMP, and nitrification compatibility panel

Days 82-109; duration 28 days. Checks whether HTL process water can return to a real plant without suppressing digestion or nitrification.

critical path

Inorganic, fouling, and corrosion coupon loop

Days 82-107; duration 26 days. Tests chloride, salts, ash, plugging, and coupon evidence before exposing pilot hardware.

critical path

Mild hydrotreating and catalyst exposure run

Days 93-114; duration 22 days. Determines whether the recovered biocrude can be stabilized without hiding nitrogen, chlorine, coke, pressure drop, or hydrogen burden.

Modeling

Kinetic/process model calibration and uncertainty update

Days 116-129; duration 14 days. Updates the process model with measured product splits, heat duty, aqueous burden, upgrading yield, and uncertainty ranges.

Decision

TEA, LCA, and site boundary refresh

Days 131-142; duration 12 days. Shows whether measured yields, hydrogen, water, residuals, and credits still support the case after bench data.

critical path

Integrated bench-to-pilot release rehearsal

Days 144-153; duration 10 days. Forces every claim into one dossier before managers hear pilot-ready language.

Package ledger

Each package is scored against proof, uncertainty, pilot-blocking value, burden, automation, and cost

integrated release

Integrated bench-to-pilot release rehearsal

Score
79.6
Proof
100
Blocker
100
Cost
12
feedstock assay

30-day site feedstock and sludge assay campaign

Score
73.1
Proof
96
Blocker
94
Cost
24
conversion baseline

Baseline HTL phase and element balance

Score
71.8
Proof
92
Blocker
90
Cost
22
contaminant closure

PFAS, metals, and hydrochar leachability closure

Score
71
Proof
94
Blocker
98
Cost
30
process simulation

Kinetic/process model calibration and uncertainty update

Score
70.1
Proof
80
Blocker
82
Cost
16
materials and inorganics

Inorganic, fouling, and corrosion coupon loop

Score
69.8
Proof
88
Blocker
94
Cost
26
business case

TEA, LCA, and site boundary refresh

Score
68.2
Proof
78
Blocker
80
Cost
14
upgrading

Mild hydrotreating and catalyst exposure run

Score
67.7
Proof
90
Blocker
92
Cost
34
aqueous recycle

Six-cycle aqueous recirculation stress campaign

Score
67.4
Proof
86
Blocker
88
Cost
30
operating window

Temperature, residence, and solids severity DOE

Score
66.7
Proof
84
Blocker
76
Cost
28
product separation

Solvent-minimized oil/water/char recovery campaign

Score
66.7
Proof
84
Blocker
82
Cost
18
WRRF biology

AD, BMP, and nitrification compatibility panel

Score
63.1
Proof
82
Blocker
84
Cost
24
fuel property

Renewable diesel and SAF property stress screen

Score
58.8
Proof
76
Blocker
78
Cost
30

Category ledger

The best package links conversion proof to plant, contaminant, material, and release proof

integrated release
Packages
1
Score
79.6
Proof
100
Days
10
feedstock assay
Packages
1
Score
73.1
Proof
96
Days
30
conversion baseline
Packages
1
Score
71.8
Proof
92
Days
18
contaminant closure
Packages
1
Score
71
Proof
94
Days
24
process simulation
Packages
1
Score
70.1
Proof
80
Days
14
materials and inorganics
Packages
1
Score
69.8
Proof
88
Days
26
business case
Packages
1
Score
68.2
Proof
78
Days
12
upgrading
Packages
1
Score
67.7
Proof
90
Days
22
aqueous recycle
Packages
1
Score
67.4
Proof
86
Days
30
operating window
Packages
1
Score
66.7
Proof
84
Days
24
product separation
Packages
1
Score
66.7
Proof
84
Days
16
WRRF biology
Packages
1
Score
63.1
Proof
82
Days
28
fuel property
Packages
1
Score
58.8
Proof
76
Days
18

Molecular marker ledger

Molecules that keep water, contaminants, upgrading, and release claims measurable

halide ion

Chloride Cl-

Priority
76.6
Water
82
Contam.
72
Release
94
PFAS sentinel

PFOA C8HF15O2

Priority
76.2
Water
72
Contam.
100
Release
100
PFAS sentinel

PFOS C8HF17O3S

Priority
75.3
Water
72
Contam.
100
Release
100
nitrogen heterocycle

Pyridine C5H5N

Priority
71.6
Water
82
Contam.
66
Release
86
aqueous nitrogen

Ammonia H3N

Priority
67.7
Water
94
Contam.
52
Release
82
oxygenated aromatic

Phenol C6H6O

Priority
62.2
Water
76
Contam.
62
Release
72
phosphorus species

Orthophosphate O4P-3

Priority
61.5
Water
74
Contam.
58
Release
86
process medium

Water H2O

Priority
59.9
Water
96
Contam.
32
Release
70
aqueous organic acid

Acetic acid C2H4O2

Priority
51.4
Water
88
Contam.
38
Release
62
fuel hydrocarbon

n-Dodecane C12H26

Priority
44.5
Water
10
Contam.
18
Release
92
upgrading reagent

Hydrogen H2

Priority
42.2
Water
18
Contam.
20
Release
88
energy recovery gas

Methane CH4

Priority
40.9
Water
68
Contam.
22
Release
76

Highest marker priorities

Chloride, PFAS, nitrogen heterocycles, ammonia, and phosphate define the first release burden

feed, water, and oil

Chloride

corrosion and catalyst-exposure marker. Feed signal 80; conversion signal 42; upgrading signal 92; source IDs campaign-rti-hydrotreating-2022; campaign-pnnl-sot-2022.

feed, aqueous, char, and oil

PFOA

source-control, PFAS fate, and release-routing sentinel. Feed signal 82; conversion signal 46; upgrading signal 52; source IDs campaign-epa-1633a-2026.

feed, aqueous, char, and oil

PFOS

persistent sulfonate PFAS marker for source-control and residual routing. Feed signal 84; conversion signal 38; upgrading signal 52; source IDs campaign-epa-1633a-2026.

aqueous and biocrude

Pyridine

recalcitrant N-heterocycle and catalyst-poison context marker. Feed signal 30; conversion signal 78; upgrading signal 90; source IDs campaign-watres-2026-review; campaign-rti-hydrotreating-2022.

HTL aqueous phase

Ammonia

return-load, nitrification, and nitrogen ledger marker. Feed signal 58; conversion signal 76; upgrading signal 44; source IDs campaign-severity-2019; campaign-apr-2026-sludge.

aqueous and biocrude

Phenol

oil-water partition and biological polishing marker. Feed signal 24; conversion signal 76; upgrading signal 62; source IDs campaign-apr-2026-sludge.

hydrochar and aqueous

Orthophosphate

nutrient recovery and hydrochar routing marker. Feed signal 72; conversion signal 48; upgrading signal 30; source IDs campaign-watres-2026-review.

feed and aqueous

Water

mass-balance and recycle concentration anchor. Feed signal 92; conversion signal 50; upgrading signal 20; source IDs campaign-apr-2026-sludge.

campaign-epa-sludge-methods-2025

Sewage sludge analytical methods and sampling procedures

EPA sampling and analytical methods page supports matrix-appropriate sludge, inorganic pollutant, and PFAS monitoring choices.

Open source
campaign-epa-1633a-2026

CWA analytical methods for PFAS

EPA Method 1633A applies to aqueous, solid, biosolids, and tissue samples and supports PFAS campaign design.

Open source
campaign-epa-micro-methods-2026

Approved CWA microbiological methods for wastewater and sewage sludge

EPA microbiological method list keeps fecal coliform and biological release checks inside the validation campaign.

Open source
campaign-watres-2026-review

Hydrothermal liquefaction of municipal sludge: biocrude production and fuel quality upgrading

2026 review frames sludge HTL as promising but limited by feed variability, fuel quality, upgrading, byproducts, and pilot integration.

Open source
campaign-apr-2026-sludge

Balancing yield and quality: Effects of aqueous phase recirculation in sewage sludge hydrothermal liquefaction

2026 study highlights yield-quality tradeoffs and composition drift during sludge HTL aqueous-phase recirculation.

Open source
campaign-aspen-model-2024

A kinetic process model for sewage sludge hydrothermal liquefaction in Aspen Plus

Pilot-validated kinetic process model supports using lab and pilot data to predict product yields and scale-up behavior.

Open source
campaign-severity-2019

Fast and isothermal hydrothermal liquefaction of sludge at different severities

Severity study supports time/temperature windows, product partitioning, and nitrogen-transfer checks for early HTL campaigns.

Open source
campaign-rti-hydrotreating-2022

Hydrotreatment of solvent-extracted biocrude from HTL of municipal sewage sludge

Hydrotreating work supports solvent/extraction compatibility, chlorine risk, catalyst response, and upgraded-oil assays.

Open source
campaign-pnnl-sot-2022

PNNL-32731 wet-waste HTL state-of-technology report

PNNL SOT supports deashing, solids handling, upgrading, TEA, and pilot-operability validation gates.

Open source

the plan should not move to pilot until the selected campaign closes feedstock, conversion, water, contaminants, upgrading, materials, and release evidence in sequence. Modeling basis: bench-to-pilot validation sequence for municipal sludge HTL, aqueous recycle, contaminant closure, upgrading, materials, and release review. Selected campaign: 30-day site feedstock and sludge assay campaign; Baseline HTL phase and element balance; Temperature, residence, and solids severity DOE; Six-cycle aqueous recirculation stress campaign; AD, BMP, and nitrification compatibility panel; Solvent-minimized oil/water/char recovery campaign; Inorganic, fouling, and corrosion coupon loop; PFAS, metals, and hydrochar leachability closure; Mild hydrotreating and catalyst exposure run; Kinetic/process model calibration and uncertainty update; TEA, LCA, and site boundary refresh; Integrated bench-to-pilot release rehearsal.